Eurovision 2026: the boycott and the betting favorites

A festival conditioned by context and withdrawals

The edition of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 advances with an unusual scenario. Unlike other years, the focus is not only on the songs or in the staging, but in the decisions that have ended up defining the list of participants.

Israel's presence in the contest has provoked a series of reactions within Europe, with several public television stations reconsidering their continuity in the contest. The result is a edition marked by relevant absences and by a less homogeneous climate than usual in Europe.

Which countries are not going to Eurovision 2026

Among the confirmed casualties due to Israel's presence at Eurovision 2026 There are New Zealand, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia and Iceland, Among others. These are not isolated decisions, but rather a shared response to the same context, which explains the dimension of the controversy surrounding the festival.

The RTVE's decision not to participate moves the debate beyond the musical. The focus is now on the role of public television and the criteria for participation in the contest .

Israel's boycott of Eurovision 2026 not only reduces participation, but upsets the usual balance of the festival. The edition is celebrated with fewer countries and under a controversy that conditions its development .

Clear favorites in the bets, but without a leader

The bets on Eurovision 2026 precisely place Israel and Finland as main favorites in this start, although with minimal differences that reflect the equality between both candidates. In this sense, operators such as bet365 and their specific markets already offer quotas for the contest.

The Israeli representative, Noam Bettan, arrives in an outstanding position after winning its national process, while Finland once again consolidates itself as a solid candidacy within the European competition. Both lead a classification that, for now, remains open.

Behind them, countries like Sweden, Greece and Ukraine remain in a competitive position. This group reinforces the idea of an edition without a clear favorite , in which factors such as the staging or the audience's response can tip the balance.

He Televoting will be one of the determining elements . The absence of several countries introduces a variable that is difficult to anticipate, since it can alter the usual voting patterns and modify the final distribution of points.

In this scenario, the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable editions in recent years , both for followers and for those who analyze its evolution from the field of betting.

RTVE and Eurovision 2026: the impact of New Zealand's absence

New Zealand's non-participation in Eurovision 2026 changes the way audiences will follow the festival this year. Unlike other editions, The contest will not be broadcast on the public channel , which alters the usual access for spectators.

Still, the followers You will be able to watch the festival through digital broadcasts and follow its development in real time. They will also have the possibility of voting, although within the category of “rest of the world” , which limits its influence on the final result. The grand final is scheduled for May 16 in Vienna.

This scenario does not eliminate interest, but it does modifies public involvement . Without its own candidacy or open broadcast, the follow-up loses part of its usual component and moves towards a more indirect experience.

At the same time, the absence of several countries and the breakdown of some habitual voting patterns mean that the distribution of points is more uncertain , a circumstance that is also reflected in the evolution of the quotas.

Eurovision 2026 thus arrives at an edition marked by uncertainty on a competitive level and due to the context surrounding the contest.

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